The week started on a negative note on Monday as broader indexes such as Dow Industrials closed below 8000. Investor’s sentiment wasn’t helped by dividend cuts in the retail sector.
Macy’s (M) board of directors announced a steep cut in its quarterly dividends from 13.25 cents to 5 cents/share. Furthermore the company decided to eliminate 4% of its workforce by laying off 7000 employees. The retailer expects much lower EPS numbers for 2009 at 0.40-0.55/share, versus $1.21 that Wallstreet analysts had expected previously. The news that really showed that management expects worse things ahead, other than the dividend cut, is the reduction in capital spending by 100-150 million dollars in 2009.
Other retailers such as Wal-Mart (WMT) , Target (TGT) and Family Dollar (FDO), all of which are dividend aristocrats, fell slightly on the news. Check out my analysis of Wal-Mart (WMT), Target (TGT) and Family Dollar (FDO). Despite the fact that both retailers are expected to perform well in the current economic turbulence, I do not like the low dividend yields at the moment. I am seeing slowing dividend growth both at Wal-Mart and Family Dollar as well. Wal-Mart will be announcing its annual results and hopefully a dividend increase on its Earning Release on February 17. FDO already increased its dividends by 8% in 2009.I would be adding to my retail holdings in Family Dollar and Wal-Mart on dips below $18 and $32 respectively. I will be looking at initiating a position at Target (TGT) on dips below $21.40. The major competitor to Wal-Mart is known to be increasing its dividends at a slower pace in the single digits during tough periods such as the 2000-2002 slowdown.
If the January Barometer is correct, we will be seeing lower prices by the end of the year, so seeing lower prices in the retail stocks mentioned above won't be surprising at all.
Full Disclosure: Long WMT and FDO
Relevant Articles:
- Wal-Mart Dividend Analysis
- FDO Dividend Analysis
- Six Dividend Stocks Raising the bar
- Dividend Aristocrats List for 2009
Popular Posts
-
I review the list of dividend increases every week, as part of my monitoring process. This exercise helps me monitor existing holdings, but ...
-
I review the list of dividend increases as part of my monitoring process. This process helps me review how the companies I own are doing. It...
-
Yield on Cost is a fascinating metric. It calculates the dividend yield based on the original cost at the time of purchase. Yield on cost i...
-
My retirement strategy is focused on living off dividends. Dividends are more stable, predictable and reliable than capital gains. Dividends...
-
A famous saying goes that there are two things certain in this world: death and taxes. While I am pretty sure I can’t escape death, I know t...
-
As a shareholder, there are two ways to make profits from a stock. The first way is when you sell your stock for a gain, after it has incre...
-
I review the list of dividend increases as part of my monitoring process every week. This exercise helps me review the performance of existi...
-
A pattern of steady dividend payments and dividend increases is only possible if a business can generate enough cashflows to support operati...
-
Planning your retirement is one of the most challenging exercises in the world. There are plenty of ways, methods and advisors, who try to i...
-
The employer match is one of the best features of workplace retirement accounts such as 401 (k) plans ( Pre-tax and Roth). It’s a contributi...