Friday, May 24, 2013

Best Brokerage Accounts for Dividend Investors

When I first started dividend investing, I was looking for the lowest commission possible. I ignored any other features of a stock brokerage, since I viewed the brokerage industry as one that provides a commoditized service. Back in 2008 – 2010 I was a big fan of Zecco, mostly for their free trades. Since then I have branched out to other brokers. Before I was a dividend investor, my investing was concentrated on buying mutual funds in a 401 (k).


The chart above summarizes brokers I have personally invested through since I started my site to document my dividend investing journey.  In addition, the information above is not intended to be complete in any means. I have rated the brokers above based on my experience with them, with Schwab being the best, while Sogotrade having room for improvement. Sogotrade charges $5 for trades, but $3/trade if you prepay. The chart shows the commissions for each broker for stock trades, and assumes an individual investor does less than 10 trades/month. It also lists the minimum amounts an investor needs to deposit, in order to open a cash account. The next column shows whether the broker offers dividend reinvestment of partial shares. Tradeking does allow dividend reinvestment per my experience, but not for partial shares. The next to last column shows the length of time that trade history and trade statements are available to the customer. In some cases, the trade history is limited to my own experience with the broker. In other cases, this is based on information available on the broker website. The last column shows that none of the brokers had any inactivity fees at the time I wrote this article.

The story below discusses my experiences with brokers, which could be different than your experience.

I believe that brokers should offer a commission that provides value to customers and also a decent rate of return to the brokerage company itself. A low commission is typically associated with rudimentary platforms which could be very confusing to the investor. Of course, if you are an experienced investor who knows what they need and doesn’t need much hand holding, then you should do fine with simply the lowest cost broker. However, when something goes wrong, and it usually will, you will start regretting your decision.

My experience with Zecco was positive for a few years, while they were offering 10 free trades for accounts whose balance exceeded $2,500. Initially, back in 2006, Zecco offered 40 commission free trades to all customers. In 2009 Zecco changed its rules once again and only provided ten free trades to customers with account balances that exceed $25,000. In 2010, Zecco eliminated commission free trades for everyone except traders who made 25 trades/month. In the meantime, I had a few other brokerage accounts, but was considering Zecco to be my primary individual brokerage account. Then Zecco started going through platform upgrades and changed their clearing firm. In addition, Zecco never offered automatic dividend reinvestment that allowed your investments to compound. This was never an issue for me, since I like to accumulate my dividends and new funds, before I buy a security. The only problems that I had were with companies that were paying 5% stock dividends or companies like Kinder Morgan LLC (KMR) which paid distributions in fractional shares. Zecco used to provide these distributions in cash, thus creating a taxable event and negating any long-term compounding of my investments.

In the meantime, a lot of Zecco investors were unhappy with their platform, because it often crashed during periods of extreme market volatility. Back in late 2008, there were several times when I was unable to log into my Zecco account to place a trade. I was also unable to log into my Zecco account during the May 6, 2010 flash crash. I was able to log into my Schwab account however on both occasions. When Zecco upgraded platforms and changed clearing firms, this created some issues for me. Actually, this created a lot of headaches for me, because some of the shares I owned like Royal Dutch Shell (RDS/B), Brown-Forman (BF/B) and Nestle (NSRGY) were either not showing in my account, or had an incorrect symbol and the position amount was zero. It is a scary feeling to wake up and see that your equity holdings are not correct or simply not there.

A few months ago, Zecco merged with Tradeking. I was afraid that I would still have issues, but luckily this never materialized. The main issue with the merger was that I lost the ability to pull from the broker website all my historical account statements and all historical activity going back to when I first opened the account. Luckily, I keep good records, and have all of this information at my fingertips. However, it is important for long-term investors to choose a brokerage that provides you with all your account activity detail going as far back as possible. Otherwise, when you sell a stock that you have held for 20 or 30 years, figuring out your tax basis would be a nightmare. Tradeking does offer dividend reinvestment, but as I mentioned earlier, I typically reinvest dividends selectively.

As a result, I started adding all new funds to SogoTrade. I kept adding funds, until they made another change in their platform when they were purchased by Wang Investments in 2011. This change did not allow me to log in to my account for a day or two. After that, I was unable to withdraw funds easily. The process is still very cumbersome and one has to enter their account number twice, after they have logged on to the platform, in order to request an ACH transfer. In addition, changing your address is a very difficult thing to accomplish with Sogotrade. It requires you to download a form, fill it out, and then fax or email it to them. If you fax it to them, you run the risk of Sogotrade losing it, which is why it is best to email it. At $3/trade however up until early 2013, you could hardly beat them. Sogotrade does not offer fractional dividend reinvestment, but keeps all monthly statements going as far back as possible. A few weeks ago however, they raised their prices to $5/trade, although investors who pre-pay for trades could still end up paying as little as $3/trade.

For a new investor, I would consider Sharebuilder. They offer $4 trades if it is scheduled on a Tuesday. Sharebuilder provides free dividend reinvestment, fractional shares and offers historical records. Real-time trades used to cost $9.99, although this amount has decreased recently to $6.95/trade. My main problem with Sharebuilder was the fact that commissions were too high for real-time trades, and I didn’t want to be restricted to only trading on Tuesdays in order to get the low commission. Going forward however, I don’t see myself using this broker more actively, since I have invested the maximum I have set out to invest per brokerage. Sharebuilder is ideal for someone who is just starting out dividend investing however.

Since my falling out with Zecco and Sogotrade, I have been adding new funds to Schwab. I still kept the old investments in the old brokerage accounts, but since I have new money coming it, that needs to be invested every month, I had to find a reputable broker. I like Schwab because they offer everything an investor can want, including research, a wealth of information, account records, dividend reinvestment and their customer service is very good. However, you do pay a high commission for this privilege. I do like the fact that Schwab is a publicly traded company, and that I can analyze its financials and monitor it closely. With Tradeking, Zecco and Sogotrade, I have no idea whether the companies are on the verge of bankruptcy. I also have an E*TRADE account, which provides a similar level of service as Schwab, but at slightly higher commission prices. I have mitigated the high commissions at Schwab by increasing my purchase or lot size per investment. If I bought shares in $1000 increments at Tradeking or Sogotrade, I now buy stocks in $2000 increments at Schwab.

As I discussed in an earlier article, I try not to invest more than $100,000 per brokerage, in order to add an extra layer of diversification to protect me against broker failures. While brokerage accounts are insured by SIPC up to $500,000, and most brokers also carry additional umbrella insurance, I find having multiple accounts helpful in case assets are frozen due to broker collapsing. Even if your money is SIPC insured, it could still take months before the money is recovered or available. If all of your funds are concentrated in one broker, you might be in a situation where you have a sufficient dividend income to pay your expenses, but you are unable to tap it because your broker failed.

Having many brokerage accounts is not too cumbersome. As a buy and hold dividend investor, I simply add up the total dividend income at tax time. I also try to keep certain securities such as MLPs and REITs in one specific account, in order to make it easier at tax time.

To summarize, while low commissions are important, they should not be the only factor in determining which brokerage to choose. Important factors include providing sufficient data support that would be beneficial during tax time, historical records, as well as a platform that is intuitive and easy to use. Automatic dividend reinvestment is an important feature as well, as is the ability to monitor your broker financial performance. As a result, I believe that Sharebuilder and Schwab are be the best brokers for dividend investors.

Full Disclosure: Long KMR

Relevant Articles:

Stress Testing Your Dividend Portfolio
Zecco Online Discount Stock Brokerage Review
- Reinvest Dividends Selectively
- Unlimited Free Trades at Zecco in October!

Wednesday, May 22, 2013

Not all P/E ratios are created equal

My favorite companies to invest in are those that have strong competitive advantages, which allow them to have an easily distinguishable product or service. This allows companies to have pricing power. This pricing power comes from the strong brand name associated with the product, and it allows the business to earn high returns on equity, and pass on cost increases to customers. This translates into solid profitability, which enables the business to increase dividends to shareholders over time.

I try to buy stock in great businesses only at attractive valuations. For me this entails a P/E that is lower than 20, an adequate dividend yield, a history of consistent dividend growth and an adequately covered dividend. In the current market environment, most stable businesses are trading at the higher end of what I am willing to pay for. I am planning on holding on to these cash machines, as I expect them to pay much higher distributions and earn much more ten, twenty or thirty years down the road.

However, I am also considering selling a few of those businesses if they trade above 30 times earnings. Brown-Forman (BF-B), Kimberly-Clark (KMB) and Colgate-Palmolive (CL) are a few businesses that would be overvalued at 30 times earnings. Currently these businesses trade at 26.90, 22.60 and 25.50 times earnings. All of these companies have strong brand names, and solid and dependable cash flows, that will only be increasing for the next 20 – 30 years. However, as I like being prepared in deploying cash from stocks I have sold, I have been researching attractive candidates for reinvestment.

I have been able to find plenty of companies with low P/E ratios, which could be fine investments for new capital. However, I am not so certain whether many of these investments have the same characteristics as the ones I am considering selling.

Many of these companies are cyclicals. Their fortunes rise and fall with the economy. Examples include companies such as BHP Billiton (BBL), Caterpillar (CAT), Exxon Mobil (XOM). BHP Billiton trades at 16.50 times earnings, Caterpillar trades at 12.10 times earnings, while Exxon Mobil trades at 9.30 times earnings. If the economy goes through another recession like the one we experienced in 2008 – 2009, commodity prices will plummet, which would depress earnings for commodity producers. It could also negatively affect the three companies mentioned above. Another sector that is somewhat cyclical is the financial one, as recessions could lead to losses in loan portfolios, when borrowers lose their jobs during the downturn.

As a result, one cannot compare the low P/E ratio of a cyclical company such as BHP Biliton to the high P/E ratio to a consumer staple such as Procter & Gamble (PG) or Colgate-Palmolive (CL). The earnings per share of a cyclical company might fall by 50% during the next recession, whereas the earnings per share of a company like Procter & Gamble might stay flat or even increase.

For example, between 2008 and 2009, EPS for Exxon Mobil fell from $8.69/share to $3.98/share, before recovering to $9.70 by 2012. EPS for BHP Billiton fell from $5.50 to $2.11 during the same period, until reaching out $5.77 in 2012. At the same time, Procter & Gamble’s (PG) earnings went from $3.64/share to $4.26/share. From there on they decreased to $3.66 by 2012, although this could be due to one-time items.

Investors should also avoid purchasing shares in companies whose P/E ratios are low today, but which might have issues in maintaining profitability ten years down the road. For example, many technology companies such as Intel (INTC) and Microsoft (MSFT) appear cheap today at 12.10 and 16.70 times earnings. However, if Intel fails to grow earnings over the next decade, the only returns for enterprising income investors might be derived from a flat dividend. If these companies fail to adapt to the ever changing world of technology, where paradigm shifts are the norm every five years or so, their earnings stream might be much lower over time. This could even pose problems for the future stability in dividend payments.

The purpose of this exercise is not to show that Exxon Mobil, Intel and BHP Billiton are bad investments today. The purpose is to show that investors cannot compare P/E ratios in vacuum between sectors. Purchasing a stock at a low P/E ratio is a winning proposition if earnings do not fall during the lifespan of your investment, but increase over time. If earnings fall by 50%, a company that looked cheap at a P/E of 15 might become overvalued all of a sudden.

It is also important to understand the company one is purchasing, how they generate their money, do they have any advantages, and analyze the trends in earnings per share, dividends per share, revenues and Returns on Equity over the past 10 years. I am considering to slowly start accumulating cash in my portfolios as the market continues going higher. However, I might consider adding to some cyclical names such as the oil majors if markets behave like they did in 1995.

That is why selling overvalued companies like Brown-Forman (BF-B) is so tough, and i have been dragging my feet doing it. I see Brown-Forman as a company capable of earning at least $6/share in 2023, and worth $120/share then. I also believe that I would earn close to $20 - $25/share in dividends from the company over the next decade.

Full Disclosure: Long BF-B, CL, KMB,

Relevant Articles:

Strong Brands Grow Dividends
Replacing appreciated investments with higher yielding stocks
Attractively valued dividend stocks to consider today
Why would I not sell dividend stocks even after a 1000%. gain?
Seven wide-moat dividends stocks to consider

Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Are we in a REIT bubble?

Low rates have made investors hungry for yield. As a result, traditional higher yielding investments such as utilities and real estate investment trusts are getting bid up by investors. If this madness continues, the possibility that many investors will get burned down the road increases exponentially.

Real estate investment trusts (REIT) are required by law to distribute at least 90% of their taxable income to shareholders. The REITs I own typically distribute somewhere close to 80 – 90% of their Funds From Operations (FFO) to shareholders. FFO is a commonly accepted tool to measure profitability for REITs, and is a more accurate indicator than earnings per share. FFO adds back for certain non-cash items such as depreciation, in order to determine the amount of profits that are available. Most REITs that I follow tend to have a FFO payout ratio between 80% - 90%. I own shares of Realty Income (O), Omega Healthcare Investors (OHI), Digital Realty Trust (DLR) and American Realty Capital Properties (ARCP).

As a result, I find it safe to assume that for REITs a low yield usually shows a stock that is overvalued, whereas a higher yield usually shows an attractively valued stock. I define a low yielding REIT in the current environment as a REITs that yields somewhere close to 4% or lower. A higher yielding REIT is one that yields at least 5%. This generalization only includes REITs whose primary business is to own physical real estate.

Some investors believe that current lower than historical yields on REITs are justified by record low interest rates. For example, yields on US 30 year Treasuries are close to 3%. These investors believe that today is the new normal, as low interest rates justify REIT valuations. The mentality that the this time it’s different might be costly to your portfolio.

Investors who purchase a REIT yielding 3% are generally receiving 80 – 90% of cashflows. In contrast, an investor in a typical dividend champion such as Procter & Gamble (PG) or Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) who gets a 3% yield today also gets a 5%- 6% earnings yield.


Even in the current environment however, there are reasonably priced opportunities for investors who are on the lookout for bargains. I have been able to use the weakness in Digital Realty Trust (DLR) to acquire a decent position in the stock. In addition, the following low yielding REITs seem to have very low FFO payout ratios:


Low yields could be justified by the expectation for higher distribution growth down the road. If your REIT slashed distributions to the bone during the 2007 – 2009 recession, they could not yield much today, but could have the potential to yield twice as much in a few years. In addition, REITs in different sectors have different yields. A healthcare REIT that might be overvalued at a yield of 4%, even though a 4% yield would be considered fair for other types of REITs.

Many REITs are able to sell ten year bonds at yields as low as 3-4%. They have particularly benefited from falling interest rates in the past five years. If you re-finance debt that used to cost 6%-7% with debt that costs half of that, the FFO bottom line will be instantly improved. However, the problem that REITs might get to in a decade is if interest rates are substantially higher than interest rates today. Many investors believe that rates will go up, which could be costly to real estate trusts that want to refinance debt a decade from now.

Another risk that we might see is if REITs bid up assets they purchase to yield below 6-7 percent. If the low cost of capital drives REITs to compete aggressively for new assets to purchase, without any regards to quality or future possibilities, this could spell disaster for REIT investors. If rates increase over next decade, this could result in reductions in FFO. This could mean trouble for REIT investors one decade down the road - low property returns relative to high interest rates in 10 years. The mitigating factor here is that interest rates might increase gradually, once they start increasing in 2- 3 years. As a result, REITs will have plenty of time to adjust their debt costs. In addition, many REITs would be able to raise rents if inflation increases alongside with interest rates.

In my personal portfolio, I have replaced National Retail Properties (NNN) with American Realty Capital Properties (ARCP). Check my analysis of National Retail Properties.  I used the fact that investors pushed yields on National Retail Properties below 4% to exit my position. I did not like the slow growth in FFO/share, as well as the slow growth in distributions. The slow growth over the past decade did not justify current valuations. Buying National Retail Properties was justified up until 2010, after which I simply held on and cashed the dividends along the way. In all reality, this REIT could probably go as high as yielding 3%, which translates to $52/share.

Based on FFO/share of $1.77 and annualized dividend of $1.58/share, the forward FFO payout for National Retail Properties comes out to roughly 89%, which is rather high. For American Realty Capital Properties, FFO is expected to be in the range of 91 - 95 cents/share in 2013, and $1.06 - $1.10 share by 2014. The annual dividend is 91 cents/share, which could make up for a forward FFO Payout of 95.80 - 100% in 2013. It looks high, but in reality the company just recently completed the acquisition of American Realty Capital Trust III, which will probably distort how financials look like this year.

I liked the fact that American Realty Capital Properties (ARCP) is a REIT that is trying to make strategic accretive acquisitions in order to expand and increase FFO/share. I view ARCP as a company that could potentially become the next Realty Income (O). Since this REIT has only been publicly traded for less than 2 years, it trades at a premium to more established REITs such as Realty Income (O) and National Retail Properties (NNN).

I also put Realty Income (O) on my watchlist for potential trimming of my position there. I believe that Realty Income is a fine buy at 43/share, which translates to a 5% yield. However, if it trades above 54 it is richly valued. At current valuations, I will consider selling some at the $62-$72/share zone. This is equivalent to a yield of 3% - 3.50%. In the meantime, I will be sitting tight and reinvesting my dividends in other stocks.

I do like the fact that the REIT has managed to maintain and grow distributions. I also like the diversified nature of the tenant base, and stability and quality of cash flows. I believe that Realty Income is the Coca-Cola of REITs, but at yields below 4% it looks overvalued. At yields below 3.50% I am going to start trimming my position in it. My last purchase was in 2011, when my entry yield of 5% made me afraid that I am purchasing at the top. The REIT has managed to boost FFO substantially since then, which is why a valuation in the low 40s is fair.

Full Disclosure: Long O, DLR, ARCP, OHI

Relevant Articles:

National Retail Properties (NNN) Dividend Stock Analysis
Five Things to Look For in a Real Estate Investment Trusts
The Case for owning Digital Realty Trust (DLR): When Hedge Funds Don't Know What They Are Talking About
Realty Income (O) – The Monthly Dividend Company

Monday, May 20, 2013

Clorox Hikes Dividends, but is it a buy at current levels?

One aspect of dividend investing that is very appealing to me is the consistency of dividend increases for many of the dividend champions I own. I realize how I take these raises for granted, in the rare event when a stock I own freezes or cuts distributions.

Over the past week, Clorox (CLX) boosted dividends by 10.90% to 71 cents/share. This marked the 36th consecutive annual dividend increase for this dividend champion. Between 2002 and 2012, annual dividends have increased by 11.30% per year. Earnings per share increased by 11.60%/year. Check my analysis of Clorox.

The current yield increased to 3.20%, which is higher than the 2.88% which 30 year US Treasury Bonds offer right now. An investor in a company like Clorox today will likely earn much more in income over the next 30 years, compared to a 30 year US Treasury Bond.  As a result, fixed income allocation might not make sense for investors who look for current income. This would be driven by increases in profits over time, which would likely also result in much higher stock prices. If we experience an annual inflation of 3% over the next 30 years, an investment in Clorox with its rising dividends would essentially provide shareholders with a source of income that is relatively protected against inflation.

It is no surprise that investors are rushing to purchase quality dividend stocks right now, which is pushing valuations to overvalued levels.

The average estimate for 2013 earnings per share for Clorox is $4.30. The estimate for 2014 is $4.63. Based on these estimates however, I would not think it is reasonable to pay more than $86/share. For those investors who have owned Clorox for several years, such as myself however, holding on to this fine consumer goods company is a very good idea that will pay dividends for a long time. In the company’s Centennial Strategy, it targets 3 – 5% revenue growth, and profits above the rate of revenue growth. Given the company’s propensity to repurchase shares, I could easily see earnings per share growth in the high single digits for the foreseeable future. Given that the international segment is only approximately 20% of sales, I see this as a growth opportunity to expand the brand further outside the US.

One concerning factor is the high dividend payout ratio of 66% for 2013. If we use 2014 forward earnings however, the dividend payout falls to 61%, which is borderline high.


Over the past 30 years, investors in Clorox have done very well. The key to success had been investing at P/E ratios below 20, and holding on the position. Selling even after gains of 1000% would have been a mistake, as the company kept earning more income and kept raising dividends. While the next 30 years might not look the same as the past 30 years, this chart illustrates the power of selecting just a few quality stocks like Clorox for your dividend portfolio and then holding them for as long as possible. The data for 2013 assumes two payments at the new rate and two dividend payments at the old rate; it also assumes forward EPS projections for 2013 fiscal year.

Full Disclosure: Long CLX

Relevant Articles:

Dividend Champions - The Best List for Dividend Investors
Clorox (CLX) Dividend Stock Analysis
Does Fixed Income Allocation Make Sense for Dividend Investors
Dividend Cuts - the worst nightmare for dividend investors
Why would I not sell dividend stocks even after a 1000% gain

Friday, May 17, 2013

Should you invest in Wells Fargo (WFC)?

In order to identify attractively valued dividend stocks, I follow a monthly screening process, where I go through the list of dividend champions and dividend achievers to look for bargains. In addition, I often stumble upon quality income stocks during my review of the dividend raises for the week or on an ad hoc basis through interactions with other dividend investors.

Some investors that I know have been purchasing Wells Fargo (WFC), which is one of the best run large banks in the country. The most prominent buyer of Wells Fargo is Warren Buffett, who has been accumulating the stock for the past four – five years in his personal portfolio and for Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B). Buffett finds that the key competitive advantage for Wells Fargo is its low cost of funds. The bank took out 25 billion from TARP, and as a result had to slash its dividend and acquire Wachovia.

I had heard only great things about Wells Fargo, which increased my interest in the bank. As a result, I took a look at the financials over the past years.


The financial included Wachovia since 2009. The thing that I noticed was that there was no growth over past four years in revenues. The amounts from non-interest fees have held steady, while the net interest revenues have decreased slightly. Since 2009 however, expenses have decreased from $70.688 billion all the way to $57.615 billion in 2012. The main driver behind the decrease in expenses was due to decrease in the Provision for credit losses from $21.668 billion in 2009 all the way to $7.217 billion in 2012.

At the same time earnings per share increased from $1.75 in 2009 to $3.36 in 2012, while annual dividends increased from 49 cents/share to 88 cents/share. The forward annual dividend payment is $1.20/share. Wells Fargo also increased the number of shares each year since 2009 to 5.351 billion. Since the main reason behind growth has been the reduction in the Provision for credit losses, it seems that future growth would be limited, unless the company either earned more from loans or more from fees.

Actually, net interest income has been declining, while the amount of loans has been slightly up from $783 billion in 2009 to $800 billion in 2012. Securities available for sale have increased dramatically however to $235 billion, up from $173 billion in 2009. At the same time, deposits have increased from $781 billion to $946 billion. The main problem behind lending these days is that it is much tougher to loan money, and interest rates are dropping at the loan rate level. At the deposit rate level, interest rates are essentially zero. As a result, in order to compensate for the decrease in the net interest rate margins, Wells Fargo would have to ramp up its lending. With interest rates projected to be low for the next three years, increasing lending will be the only way out to profit growth in this segment, without sacrificing credit quality however.

The issue with ramping up credit right now however is that when interest rates go up in five - seven years, Wells Fargo might end up owning assets such as 30 year loans at 4% ( I made this number up), when its cost of capital is close to or above 4%.

The mitigating factor however is that the average maturity of loans is under 30 years, and also a portion of Wells Fargo’s loans are floating rate. The company will have almost $300 billion in loans mature within the next five years. Over half of these loans were floating rate ones. New loans will generate more income however.

I like the fact that the company also has a substantial amount of non interest based revenues, which account for half of Wells Fargo’s revenues. Total trust and investment fees and total mortgage activities accounted for over half of those non-interest revenues. The portion of fee income is approximately 59%, with the rest derived from mortgage origination, other, insurance and gains from trading. It is good to hear that the company is able to generate diverse income streams to fall back on. The company is able to cross-sell products to customers who enjoy their banking relationship with it.

One positive could be that the company has a record $945 billion in deposits, and has attracted over $200 billion since 2008. While not all of the funds are allocated to loans, this could be a good indicator going forward, because it means more banking relationships over time. A customer can open a checking account today, then decide to take a mortgage, open a brokerage account or do other business with Wells Fargo. The customer relationship piece is an intangible part of the business, but nevertheless could yield dividends down the road. In addition, with record low interest rates, these deposits are almost not costing anything to Wells Fargo.

Overall I like the fact that Wells Fargo is trading at 10.80 times earnings, yields over 3% and has a sustainable dividend payment. The company has a solid asset base, which will pay dividends for years. However, I am not certain where future growth will come from. The increase in the company’s profit since 2009 has been mostly due to the reduction in the provision for loan losses. At the same time revenues have been flat. Unfortunately, a company cannot grow shareholder value without growing revenues. You can only cut so much expenses. If Wells Fargo were to start loaning out more funds, it would possibly translate into more revenue, as long as borrower quality is maintained and the net interest margin does not drop from here. There is a margin of safety in today’s valuation, but until I can see revenues increasing, I am going to sit this one out on the sidelines.

At the same time, I am a big fan of the five largest Canadian banks. These companies have a dominant position in the Canadian market, and earn very good amount of fees from customers. At the same time they have been able to grow interest and non-interest income, increase number of branches and expand by buying US bank assets. Back in early 2013 I purchased shares in Bank of Montreal (BMO), Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS), Royal Bank of Canada (RY), Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD), Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM).

Of course, if Canada’s housing market softens, these big five banks would likely perform worse than the likes of Wells Fargo. The table above shows the Net Interest and Non Interest Income trends for Toronto - Dominion Bank (TD). It also shows the trends in the provision for credit losses as well. Canada adopted IFRS accounting standards recently, which is why information for prior to 2011 is under Canadian GAAP. Either way however, the trend in the three pieces of information would be similar under both accounting methods. The trend over the past few years in both interest and non-interest income for the big five Canadian banks is positive. They have been expanding domestically and internationally, which makes seeing where growth will come much easier.

Full Disclosure: Long BMO, BNS, RY, TD, CM

Relevant Articles:

Spring Cleaning My Dividend Portfolio
Wells Fargo (WFC) – show me the money
Wells Fargo Joins the Crowd of Dividend Cutters
Warren Buffett on Dividends: Ideas from his 2013 Letter to Shareholders
Warren Buffett’s Dividend Stock Strategy

Popular Posts