Thursday, July 19, 2018

Introducing Dividend Growth Investor Newsletter

I wanted to share with you some exciting news!

After writing Dividend Growth Investor website for over a decade, I am starting a newsletter which is focusing on premium content for subscribers. I am launching this service, particularly to address a common question I receive quite often from readers. Most readers ask either for a summary of my best ideas or for a listing of my dividend portfolio holdings. One of the challenges I have is that I would not recommend purchasing many of the companies I own today due to valuation. However, I think that my newsletter will address the need for a snapshot of dividend holdings for the long-term and a list of attractively valued companies that the portfolio will purchase each month.

In my newsletter, I will run a real world dividend portfolio. I will make purchases every single month in the best values I can find at the moment. I will start by allocating a $1,000 per month to the portfolio. Each month, I will try to invest in 10 dividend companies using the commission free brokerage Robinhood.

Each newsletter will include the ten companies to be bought for the Dividend Growth Portfolio. You will be able to obtain an analysis of each company included in the portfolio through the newsletter. In my analysis, I will focus on dividend safety, dividend growth potential and valuation. I try to invest that money with utmost care, because I know that I will rely on that dividend income stream in the future.

As the dividend portfolio matures, I will walk you through the process of managing portfolio weights, working on diversification and monitoring the portfolio.

The newsletter with ten dividend ideas will always come out on the first Monday of the month. Just for the introductory newsletter however, we will select and post the top ten companies this Monday, July 23rd. The orders will be executed at the open on Monday morning. Subscribers will receive confirmation about the purchases that are made in a follow up email later that day.

Each month, we will also include a brief overview of the portfolio performance. The ultimate goal of this portfolio will be to generate $1,000 in safe monthly dividend income. Therefore, I have the commitment to stick to this portfolio for a few years.

Dividends will be reinvested in the best values at the moment. They will be reinvested in the best values of the month along with the new cash deposits into the brokerage account. Once dividends earned in a given month reach $100 however, I may make investment decisions on an ad-hoc basis if I find a good value for the money that is short-lived. Subscribers will receive alerts for any real time trades made for the portfolio.

In order to thank you for being a loyal reader, I am offering the newsletter for a low introductory price of $6/month. There is a 7 day free trial, during which your card will not be charged. After that, you can still cancel at any time, but you will be charged. For less than 20 cents/day, you will receive a listing of 10 quality companies that my real world portfolio will purchase every month. I believe that this is a bargain.

You can subscribe using this Paypal form:

Once you subscribe, I will add you to my exclusive email list, and you will be able to receive premium information about the dividend growth investor portfolio.

The price will increase over time, so you have a limited chance to grab this subscription today. If you subscribe today however, your price will never increase. I guarantee it.

Monday, July 16, 2018

Five Companies Committed to Increasing Returns To Shareholders

As part of my monitoring process, I review the list of dividend increases every week. I am able to monitor companies I own and those I may be considering owning at the right price. I find the rate of recent dividend increases to be very telling about management’s expectations for near term profitability growth. If they believe that their company is operating at a predictable rate, they are likely to consider growing the dividend close to the historical average annual rate of increase. If there is the expectation for a deceleration in profitability, we will see management growing their distribution’s at a much slower pace than before.

This is why I try to compare the most recent dividend increase relative to the ten year average. In order to get more context, I also review the historical trends in earnings per share along with the near term earnings expectations by Wall Street Analysts (which should be taken with a grain of salt of course).

Over the past week, there were several companies that announced dividend raises to their shareholders. After going through the press releases, I also included some comments from top executives, which should summarize their opinions on dividends. As usual, I focus on companies that have managed to increase dividends for at least a decade. I want companies that can pay and grow dividends throughout the economic cycle.

The companies include:

Thursday, July 12, 2018

Evolution of the dividend kings list over the years

A dividend king is a company that has managed to reward shareholders with a dividend increase for at least 50 years in a row. This is no easy feat, as only 20 companies in the US have managed to achieve this regal status.

When I came up with the idea for the dividend king's list in 2010, there were only ten companies claiming this status. The prosperity of the 2010’s has led to an increase in the number of dividend kings. I have done some research on the dividend kings, as I like to look at historical data and play around in excel.

But history buffs like me have always wondered about the dividend kings of the olden days. I am always fascinated to learn about financial history.

After spending some time at a local library, I came up with a few books containing historical dividend records for the dividend achievers. The list of dividend achievers is not as comprehensive as the list of Dividend Champions, Contenders and Challengers. However, it is the best way to find information that is good enough.

The information covers the period of the 1990s and the early 2000s.

There was only one dividend king in 1994 – it was Winn Dixie with a 50 year record of annual dividend increases. The company remained the only dividend king in 1995, raising its record of annual dividend hikes to 51 years in a row.

Monday, July 9, 2018

Screening The Dividend Champions List For Bargains

I ran my screen against the list of dividend champions from June 2018, in order to identify bargains. The list of dividend champions includes companies that have managed to increase dividends to shareholders for at least 25 years in a row. The dividend champions list is more comprehensive than the list of dividend aristocrats, which is why I prefer to use it for my investing process.

The criteria used to screen the list of dividend champions are listed below:

1) A trailing P/E ratio below 20
2) A dividend payout ratio below 60%
3) A ten year dividend growth of at least 3%/year
4) A history of earnings growth over the past decade
5) A 25 year streak annual of dividend increases ( being a dividend champion meets this requirement automatically)

The process of screening is fairly straightforward.

The first step involves creating a portfolio in Yahoo Finance, which includes the dividend champions from the latest update.

The second step involves creating a custom view, which allows you to see the ratios that are most important for you. In my case, I look for price, prospective dividend and earnings. I used trailing earnings per share for this screen, but I usually use forward earnings in order to account for one-time accounting items distorting short-term results. For example, my screen excluded Becton Dickinson (BDX) since it was showing to be having negative earnings ( caused by one-time items). But a review using forward earnings would have included it for potential screening. Trailing earnings are automatically populated, but for some reason I have to manually look for forward earnings for each company individually, because their “Forward Earnings” column shows the earnings for the year after next year. This is way too forward for me.

Tuesday, July 3, 2018

Three Dividend Growth Stocks Rewarding Shareholders With A Raise

I review the list of dividend increases every week, as part of my monitoring process. This exercise is very helpful, as it allows me to view how the dividend is progressing relative the ten year average.

Dividend rates are set out by company’s boards of directors, after taking into consideration the outlook for the business environment, the needs of the business and the excess cashflow that is generated from it. I view the rate of dividend increases as a helpful tool that allows me to see the near term sentiment from the company’s top executives.

I focus my attention on companies with a ten year track record of annual increases, in order to weed out cyclical companies whose dividends are not as dependable. As dividend growth investors, we are after companies that will pay and grow dependable dividends even during recessions. As a result, this review excluded the dividend increases by financial companies such as Wells Fargo (WFC), J.P. Morgan (JPM) and Bank of America (BAC), since those companies broke their long records of annual dividend increases during the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 - 2009.

Over the past week, there were three notable companies that announced dividend hikes. The companies include:

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