With the stock market declines that hedge fund and mutual fund redemptions as well as the deleveraging on Wall Street have caused, investors are definitely wondering whether they would ever be able to reach their financial goals. The increasing volatility of the markets has certain stocks trading at multi year lows, despite strong fundamentals, pushing yields to multi-year highs.
In this market turmoil, I believe that sticking to fundamentally sound strategies such as value investing or dividend growth investing is the way to escape the day to day volatility. I also believe that learning more about value investing is essential, as the market will present many once in a lifetime opportunities for investors.
One value investing strategy is merger arbitrage. In my previous post related to CEG merger, I outlined the basic idea behind this strategy. I still believe that CEG deal will close by the middle of 2009. At current prices and if the stock keeps its 8% current yield, enterprising investors could make about 18%.
Furthermore I have kept my eyes open for other arbitrage opportunities. Rohm and Haas (ROH) is another merger arbitrage play to consider. In July, Dow Chemical announced that it was considering acquiring ROH for $78/share in cash. You could check my analysis of ROH here.
On October 29 the shareholders of ROH approved the deal. Furthermore the Hass family, which owns over one third of Rohm-Haas, is a strong supporter of the deal, as it seeks to unload their position.
The merger is expected to close in early 2009, pending regulatory approvals, and the agreement provides that Rohm and Haas Company will retain its name and Philadelphia Headquarters.
An earlier article by Jimmy Lathrop listed some of the risks that could prevent this arbitrage opportunity to work out. The strongest reason in my opinion is this one:
1. There is a chance that the credit crisis could slow or scuttle the deal. Even though Warren Buffett arranged part of the financing to include sale of equity interests with Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) as well as the Kuwait Investment Authority, the main underwriters to pay the shareholders of Rohm and Haas Company will come through a loan provided by Citigroup (C), Morgan Stanley (MS) and Merrill Lynch (MER). To put things mildly, there is significant uncertainty as to whether one, two or all three of these banks who signed this agreement on July 10, 2008, will be a functioning entity on January 15, 2009.
I believe that ROH is a buy at these levels as long as the deal does not get derailed. Furthermore the stock is paying 41cents/quarter in dividends, which is a decent payment while you are waiting for the deal to close.
Full Disclosure: Long CEG and ROH
- Dow Chemical (DOW) To Acquire Rohm and Haas (ROH)
- Constellation Energy (CEG) Merger Arbitrage Opportunity
- ROH Dividend Analysis
- Zecco Online Discount Stock Brokerage Review
This is a guest post by Mike, aka The Dividend Guy. He authors The Dividend Guy Blog since 2010 and manages portfolios at Dividend Stocks Ro...
Dividend growth stocks are the gift that keeps on giving . I like the fact that most of the work in selecting good dividend growth stocks is...
I have shared with you early in the year, that I am essentially living off dividends and side income in 2016. I am saving my other income i...
Last week I shared with you the list of 2016 Dividend Aristocrats and its performance over the past decade . In addition, I isolated twenty...
I pick my own dividend paying stocks in my taxable accounts, and wouldn’t have it any other way. I know some of you have mentioned that they...
Mark Seed is passionate about personal finance and investing and is the blogger behind My Own Advisor . Mark is currently investing in divi...
I am a fairly frugal person . An example of that is the fact that I drive a 15 year old car. I would likely keep driving this car until all ...
This is a guest post from Keith Park, who writes about dividend investing on DivHut . Keith has been a dividend growth investor since 2007 f...
This is a guest contribution from Liquid at Freedom 35 Blog . Liquid is an avid investor in the North American financial markets and blogs a...
Oil and gas prices are cyclical in nature. The recent downturn in energy prices that started in 2014 has pushed energy stock prices, earnin...