Dividend Growth Investor Newsletter

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Thursday, July 31, 2025

S&P 500 Annualized Returns by Decade

Breaking down the total returns by source, helps you understand perfectly how total returns are generated

Total Returns are a function of:

1. Dividends

2. Earnings Per Share Growth

3. Change in valuation

The first two items matter the most in the long run; the last matters the most in the short run.

Ultimately, the trade-offs between each item on a given time period determine total returns overall.

As Benjamin Graham aptly summarized it, "In the short-run, the market is a voting machine. In the long-run, the market is a weighting machine."

I recently found a chart that breaks down S&P 500 returns by decade, starting in 1880 and ending in 2019.


It's fascinating to understand how annualized total returns were generated by looking at the interplay between those sources of returns.

For example, during the first decade of the 2000s, total returns were driven mostly by dividends, as share prices declined due to multiple's decreasing. Earnings growth was muted as well. This is when a lot of investors realized that trees don't always grow to the sky.

The 2010s however showed a completely different picture. The dividend portion of total returns was smaller and overshadowed by changes in earnings growth, and aided slightly by changes in the multiple.

Overall, changes in the multiple tend to produce big swings in the positive or the negative direction. However, these tend to revert to the mean over time. Ultimately, the longer your timeframe, the lower the impact of multiple changes on total returns. However, the shorter the timeframe, the higher the impact of the multiple changes on total returns. However, be advised that multiple changes are properly titled as "speculative" source of returns. That's because it's heavily influenced by the short-term views of Mr Market.

For example, in the 1970s, valuations multiple shrank, which subtracted a steep 8.30%/year from annualized returns. Paying a high valuation in the late 1960s turned out to be a headwind to shorter term returns. While a decade is "short-term", holding through a painful decade definitely doesn't feel short-term.

However, in the 1980s, valuations expanded, which added 8.20%/year to annualized returns. It's definitely a good situation to be in when you can buy stocks on the cheap, and then they deliver earnings growth, solid dividends and the multiples expand too.

This type of a model is directly applicable to studying individual companies as well. This is why I find it helpful to evaluate dividend growth and earnings growth for each company I review, and then also review that in tandem with valuation multiples such as dividend yield and P/E ratio. It's important to look at the bigger picture, and not get stuck on one item however.

Thank you for reading!


Monday, July 28, 2025

Fifteen Dividend Companies Raising Distributions Last Week

 As part of my monitoring process, I review the list of dividend increases every week. I usually focus on companies that have managed to boost dividends to shareholders for at least a decade (with one exception this week). 

There were 30 companies that raised dividends in the US last week. Fifteen of them have increased dividends for at least ten years in a row.

The companies that raised their dividends to shareholders are listed below:






This list is not a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. It is simply a list of companies that raised dividends last week. The companies listed have managed to grow dividends for at least ten years in a row.

The next step in the process would be to review trends in earnings per share, in order to determine if the dividend growth is on strong ground. Rising earnings per share provide the fuel behind future dividend increases.

This should be followed by reviewing the trends in dividend payout ratios, in order to check the health of dividend payments. A rising payout ratio over time shows that future dividend growth may be in jeopardy. There is a natural limit to dividends increasing if earnings are stagnant or if dividends grow faster than earnings.

Obtaining an understanding behind the company’s business is helpful, in order to determine how defensible the dividend will be during the next recession. Certain companies are more immune to any downside, while others follow very closely the rise and fall in the economic cycle.

Of course, valuation is important, but it is more art than science. P/E ratios are not created equal. A stock with a P/E of 10 may turn out to be more expensive than a stock with a P/E of 30, if the latter is growing earnings and the former isn’t. Plus, the low P/E stock may be in a cyclical industry whose earnings will decline during the next recession, increasing the odds of a dividend cut. The high P/E company may be in an industry where earnings are somewhat recession resistant, which means that the likelihood of dividend cuts during the next recession is lower.

Relevant Articles:




Thursday, July 24, 2025

The 10 largest Dividend Growth Companies in the US

Dividend Growth Companies are businesses that have managed to increase annual dividends for several years in a row. Typically, established dividend growth companies need at least 10 years of annual dividend increases before they could be added to the dividend achievers list. If they have at least a 25 year track record, they are added either to the list of dividend aristocrats (if they are members of S&P 500) or the dividend champions list. Some folks also use a 5 year track record to establish presence in the dividend growth investing universe, believing that they can potentially identify future stars earlier than everyone else.

I wanted to take a look at the ten largest Dividend Growth Companies in the US, in order to look for value. I narrowed the list down to the largest publicly traded companies in the US, which have managed to increase dividends for at least 10 years in a row.

These are well-known, established and highly followed and widely owned companies. If you had bought them a decade ago, you would have locked in good starting valuations, and enjoyed a decade of solid dividend growth and total returns. All of those were driven by growth in earnings per share over the past decade.

The question of course is whether they are worth adding to today. Let's take a look at them:


Frankly, those companies all look expensive to me. Perhaps J.P. Morgan Chase is the one that looks close to fairly valued today, albeit 15 times for a financial and a dividend yield below 2% may be a stretch too.

I love the dividend growth stats for Microsoft, Broadcom, Eli Lilly, Visa, Mastercard and Costco. However, those multiples are pretty steep if you ask me. I would not pay more than 25 forward for these growth stories, in order to get some margin of safety in case growth slows down and to take into consideration the risk I am taking. It is quite possible that a lost decade where P/E multiples shrink could cause low returns, even if growth turns out to be reliable and durable (which it is not always the case). If I start out with a low yield in the first place, I may not be paid much to wait either. Either way, I love those companies and would love to buy/add to them at the right price. 

In the case of Apple, I dislike the high valuation and the slowdown in dividend growth. Plus, the dividend yield is low. Hence if earnings stagnate from here there is low margin of safety and I am not paid much to wait.

Wal-Mart is expensive as well, given their slow dividend growth and low yield. The company is trying to transform its business to better compete with online retailing, which has taken out some capital from dividend growth initiatives. They are starting to crank up dividend growth again, but the valuation is still rich for a large company like that. I would love to buy more at the right valuation.

As for Exxon Mobil, it is optically cheap at a 16 times forward earnings and a dividend yield of 3.67%. This is a company that has paid dividends for decades, and increased them for 42. They didn't cut dividends during the past decade, which was very hard on the energy sector, amidst glut of production, disruptions, and negative prices at one point in 2020. Hence I have a high degree of confidence (as much as you can have confidence of course) that this dividend is important to management and shareholders, and won't be just cut on a whim. However, dividend growth has been very slow in the past decade. The business was not easy in the past decade however, and a lot of competitors ended up cutting or suspending dividends at least once in the past decade. Hence, that slow growth in dividends is actually a win.

Well, there you have it, my opinion on the largest dividend growth companies in the US. Note, they are weighted heavily in several popular dividend growth funds in the US. Unfortunately, those valuations are high, which could weigh on future returns.

The other fun fact to consider is that the ten largest dividend growth companies of 2035 mey turn out to be a list that is much different than this list above.

Just for reference, the ten largest dividend growth companies in 2015 were:

Wal-Mart, Johnson & Johnson, Coca-Cola, PepsiCo, Qualcomm, Exxon Mobil, CVS Health, IBM, 3M and United Technologies.

Either way, the way to succeed is to find good quality dividend growers, but acquire them at a good valuation.


Monday, July 21, 2025

Seven Dividend Growth Stocks Raising Dividends Last Week

I review the list of dividend increases every single week, as part of my monitoring process. This exercise helps me to monitor existing holdings. It also helps me potentially identify companies for further research.

I typically focus my attention on the companies with a ten year track record of annual dividend increases. 

Over the past week, there were seven companies that both raised dividends to shareholders and also have a ten year streak of consecutive annual dividend increases. I have included a short summary behind each company, the raise, and the type of fundamental and valuation information I use to quickly decide if a company should be placed on my list for research or not.

The nine companies are listed below:


Community Financial System, Inc. (CBU) operates as the bank holding company for Community Bank, N.A. that provides various banking and other financial services to retail, commercial, institutional, and municipal customers. It operates through three segments: Banking, Employee Benefit Services, and All Other. 

The company raised quarterly dividends by 2.2% to $0.47/share. This is the 33rd consecutive year of dividend increases for this dividend champion. The annualized dividend growth rate over the past decade is 4.73%.

The company managed to grow earnings from $2.21/share in 2015 to $3.45/share in 2024.

The company is expected to earn $4.08/share in 2025.

The stock sells at 14.33 times forward earnings and has a dividend yield of 3.15%.


Cummins Inc. (CMI) offers various power solutions worldwide. It operates through five segments: Engine, Distribution, Components, Power Systems, and Accelera. 

The company raised quarterly dividends by 9.90% to $2/share. This is the 20th consecutive year of dividend increases for this dividend achiever. The annualized dividend growth rate over the past decade is 9.56%.

The company managed to grow earnings from $7.86/share in 2015 to $28.55/share in 2024.

The company is expected to earn $21.05/share in 2025.

The stock sells at 16.54 times forward earnings and has a dividend yield of 2.30%.


Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) operates as an energy company in the United States. It operates through two segments: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure (EU&I); and Gas Utilities and Infrastructure (GU&I).

The company raised quarterly dividends by 1.90% to $1.065/share. This is the 21st consecutive annual dividend increase for this dividend achiever. The annualized dividend growth rate over the past decade is 2.77%.

The company managed to grow earnings from $4.06/share in 2015 to $5.70/share in 2024.

The company is expected to earn $6.32/share in 2025.

The stock sells at 18.59 times forward earnings and has a dividend yield of 3.63%.


NNN REIT (NNN) invests in high-quality properties subject generally to long-term, net leases with minimal ongoing capital expenditures. 

This REIT increased the quarterly dividend by 3.40% to $0.60/share. This dividend champion has increased its annual dividend for 36 consecutive years. The annualized dividend growth rate over the past decade is 3.33%.

NNN REIT managed to grow FFO fom $2.22/share in 2015 to $3.32/share in 2024.

The company is expected to generate $3.38/share in FFO in 2025.

The stock sells at 12.64 times forward FFO and has a dividend yield of 5.62%.


PPG Industries, Inc. (PPG) manufactures and distributes paints, coatings, and specialty materials in the United States, Canada, the Asia Pacific, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates through three segments: Global Architectural Coatings, Performance Coatings, and Industrial Coatings. 

The company raised quarterly dividends by 4.40% to $0.71/share. This is the 54th consecutive annual dividend increase for this dividend king. The annualized dividend growth rate over the past decade is 7.34%.

The company's earnings went from $5.18/share in 2015 to $4.77/share in 2024.

The company is expected to earn $7.86/share in 2025.

The stock sells at 14.77 times forward earnings and has a dividend yield of 2.34%.


The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) manufactures and markets branded food and beverage products worldwide. The company operates through four segments: U.S. Retail Coffee, U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads, U.S. Retail Pet Foods, and Sweet Baked Snacks.

The company increased the quarterly dividend by 1.90% to $1.10/share. This is the 28th consecutive annual dividend increase for this dividend champion. The annualized dividend growth rate over the past decade is 5.78%.

The company's earnings went from $5.77/share in 2015 to a loss of $11.57/share in 2024, driven by one-time charges.

The company is expected to earn $9.22/share in 2025.

The stock sells at 11.82 times forward earnings and has a dividend yield of 3.97%.


Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) Union Pacific Railroad Company, operates in the railroad business in the United States.

The company announced a 3% dividend increase to the quarterly dividends to $1.38/share. This dividend achiever has managed to increase annual dividends for 19 years in a row. The annualized dividend growth rate over the past decade is 11.33%.

The company's earnings went from $5.51/share in 2015 to $11.10/share in 2024.

The company is expected to earn $11.58/share in 2025.

The stock sells at 19.64 times forward earnings and has a dividend yield of 2.36%.


Relevant Articles:

- Four Dividend Growth Stocks Increasing Dividends Last Week




Monday, July 14, 2025

Four Dividend Growth Stocks Increasing Dividends Last Week

I review the list of dividend increases every week, as part of my monitoring process. This exercise helps me monitor existing companies, and also potentially identify companies for further research.

In my reviews, I focus on companies that have managed to increase dividends for at least ten consecutive years. I also drill down on understanding whether dividend growth was supported by rising earnings per share. In addition, I want to compare the most recent dividend increase to the historical average.

Last but not least, I want to look at valuation. Valuation is part art, part science. It takes into consideration the current P/E, and dividend yield, along with growth in earnings and dividends, and then making an extrapolation about the future.

During the past week, there were four companies that announced increases in their quarterly dividends, which also have a ten year minimum streak of consistent annual dividend increases. The companies include:


Enterprise Products Partners L.P. (EPD) provides midstream energy services to producers and consumers of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), crude oil, petrochemicals, and refined products. It operates in four segments: NGL Pipelines & Services, Crude Oil Pipelines & Services, Natural Gas Pipelines & Services, and Petrochemical & Refined Products Services.

Enterprise Products Partners raised its quarterly distribution to $0.545/unit. This is a 3.80% increase over the distribution paid during the same time last year. This dividend champion has increased annual distributions to partners since 1998.

Over the past decade, EPD has managed to boost distributions at an annualized rate of 3.73%.

The partnership yields 6.80%. 


Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MMC) is a professional services company, which provides advisory services and insurance solutions to clients in the areas of risk, strategy, and people worldwide. It operates through Risk and Insurance Services, and Consulting segments. 

The company raised quarterly dividends by 10.40% to $0.90/share. This is the 16th year of consecutive annual dividend increases for this dividend achiever. The company has managed to boost dividends at an annualized rate of 11.28% over the past decade.

Between 2015 and 2024, earnings per share increased from $3.01 to $8.25.

The company is expected to earn $9.58/share in 2025.

The stock sells for 22.40 times forward earnings and yields 1.70%.


Ryder System, Inc. (R) operates as a logistics and transportation company worldwide. It operates through three segments: Fleet Management Solutions (FMS), Supply Chain Solutions (SCS), and Dedicated Transportation Solutions (DTS). 

Ryder raised its quarterly dividends by 12.30% to $0.91/share. This is the 21st consecutive year of dividend increases for this dividend achiever. The company has managed to boost dividends at an annualized rate of 8.15% over the past decade.

Between 2015 and 2024, earnings per share increased from $5.75 to $11.28.

The company is expected to earn $12.88/share in 2025.

The stock sells for 13.70 times forward earnings and yields 1.84%.


Unum Group (UNM) provides financial protection benefit solutions in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Poland. It operates through Unum US, Unum International, Colonial Life, and Closed Block segment.

The company raised quarterly dividends by 9.5% to $0.46/share. This is the 17th consecutive annual dividend increase for this dividend achiever.  The company has managed to boost dividends at an annualized rate of 9.79% over the past decade.

Between 2015 and 2024, earnings per share increased from $3.51 to $9.49.

The company is expected to earn $8.90/share in 2025.

The stock sells for 9 times forward earnings and yields 2.30%.


Relevant Articles:

- Nine Dividend Achiever Banks Raising Dividends After Passing the Fed's Stress Tests






Friday, July 11, 2025

Consumer Staples Have Some Value Left

There is some news around the consumer staples, which is a popular bread and butter sector for many dividend growth investors. It looks like the sector has some value, that could be unlocked by private buyers or spin-offs.

Last week, Ferrero Group announced that it will acquire WK Kellogg (KLG) for $23/share.

Back in 2023, Kellogg's split into WK Kellogg (KLG) and Kellanova (K). Kellanova itself is in the process of being acquired by Mars Inc

Today, Kraft Heinz is rumored to be planning to split off its grocery business, from its sauce and spreads business. In effect splitting into a Kraft and a Heinz. That could unlock some value, and potentially get someone else to bid up for those separate companies.

Looks like there is some value left in consumer staple brands after all. Perhaps those deals are a sign that public market valuations are lower than what the intrinsic values to a private buyer would be.

For those who like to play the relative performance game, the consumer staples sector (XLP) has lagged the averages in the past 15 years.


Of course, it really did much better in the lost decade of the 2000s and then some.

Those companies have managed to weather many storms, and succeed in a slow and steady fashion.


It's fascinating to look under the hood on the staples etf. 

The two largest companies, Costco (COST) and Walmart (WMT),  are not what many of us would consider to be a consumer staple. 

These sector classifications are indeed something, arent' they?



There is some untapped value there I think, in the traditional consumer staples space however. These companies can weather storms well, but also deliver returns when things are good too. 

There are some risks to some companies in the sector, though these companies have also been known to manage a ton of risks and obstacles over the decades, and overcome them. 

These strong brands have some pricing power left too, along with some loyal customer following. Yes, consumers are squeezed, and yes there is always the risk of generics and probably other risks as well     ( Ozempic for some). But these companies have also managed to overcome those risks in the past, so perhaps they'd pull another trick from up their sleeves.


There's probably a reason why there are so many consumer staples in the list of the best performing companies over the past half a century or so..

Even an average return can compound to a lot of wealth if left uninterrupted for a long time..

That being said, one should always use the type of logical evaluation of each company, before investing in my opinion. On my end this means requiring a long history of dividend increases, that is supported by growth in earnings per share. I also want an adequate dividend payout ratio as well as a good valuation.  This provides some margin of safety for the diversified dividend growth investor.

Thursday, July 10, 2025

Warren Buffett's investment in Coca-Cola

Warren Buffett's investment in Coca-Cola (KO) is really fascinating.


He started buying it in 1988 after the 1987 Stock Market crash.

Buffett built his position in Coca-Cola by the end of 1994, and his average cost is $3.25/share. 

The stock sold for a P/E of 12 - 15 in 1988.

However, it grew EPS from $0.153 in 1987 to $0.495 in 1994 (adj for splits). Then it grew again to $0.82/share in 1997, before hitting a short-term snag.

You can view the trends in earnings per share, share price and dividends between 1984 and 2003


The 1990s were are great time for US multi-national branded companies, as a lot of new markets opened for them. Demand increased as well, while they also maintained pricing power too.

In the meantime, the company's "quality" was re-descovered and investors bid it up to much higher P/E ratios.

In hindsight, one could argue that Warren Buffett should have sold out of Coca-Cola in 1997 - 1998, when it sold at a P/E above 30. 

The problem with this thinking is that it wreaks of hindsight bias. It's easy to see the top, and apply "criteria" after the fact when you have perfect hindsight.

The reality of making such rash decisions in real-time is much more complicated. For example, Coca-Cola stock was equally overvalued in 1991, selling above 30 times earnings as well. If you had sold back then at a high price of $10.22/share, you would have missed out on all the upside from 1991 to 1998, when it reached over $44/share. And not including dividends even. Valuation based timing only works perfectly with the benefit of hindsight, but rarely in real time.

Of course, selling would have also triggered steep corporate taxes of 35% or so. So if they sold at close to the all-time-highs at $43.25/share in 1998, they'd have realized a gain of $40/share. The IRS would have taken away $14/share in taxes. Of course, it is impossible to sell at the very top. It is also impossible to just sell 400 Million shares just like that, which represents a very high percentage ownership of the float. This sale by Buffett would have depressed the share price, so they would have had to sell at a lower price, even if they knew where the top and bottom would be (which is impossible) on top of losing a steep amount of value in taxes on capital gains.

As a corporation, Berkshire Hathaway does not get a preferential tax rate on realized capital gains. They do get a preferential tax rate on dividends, due to the dividends received deduction. 

Because of those taxes, it seems like selling Coca-Cola stock in 1997 - 1998 and investing in a diversified basket of equity investments would have been a moot point (due to the 35% tax on gains, the fact that Buffett's sales would have depressed the stock price and the fact that he would have missed out on all those dividends over the decades).

The best part of course is that Buffett never reinvested those Coca-Cola dividends that were received over the years. I calculate that since 1994, Berkshire has received over $29/share in dividends for Coca-Cola.

Even better is the fact that dividends are taxed at preferential rates for Berkshire Hathaway, because of the dividend received deduction.  Capital gains are taxed at worse tax rates for Berkshire Hathaway than dividends, because Berkshire is a corporation.

That dividend money has been invested at high rates of returns that Buffett has achieved interally into others stocks and businesses. Which means that market timing was not really necessary.

Today, Coca-Cola's growth has slowed down, as the company is expected to earn $2.97/share. But it's not out yet.

The company pays an annual dividend of $2.04/share, which represents an yield on cost of 62.76% for Berkshire. This means that every 18 months, Buffett's holding company gets its original cost back in dividends alone. Dividends are a return on investment and a return of investment.

Plus, at $69.48/share, Buffett is sitting at a nice unrealized gain of $666.23 per share (reminder his cost is $3.25/share)

The nice thing is that since 1994, he has received $29.27 in dividends per each share he owns.

Today, this investment is worth almost $28 Billion and generates $816 million in annual dividends.

That dividend money has been deployed by Buffett into the best opportunities he could find, at the ROI he requires.


Monday, July 7, 2025

Returns of S&P 500 Index Stocks by Dividend Policy

I am a big fan of Dividend Growth Investing. I like the mental model of Dividend Growth Investing, where a rising stream of annual dividend increases that spans over many years is a sign of a quality business. Characteristics of quality businesses include generating excess cashflows, high returns on investment, wide moats/competitive advantages and dominant market position and brand power. It also means have a business model that is not too cyclical either. Perhaps some pricing power as well.

Only a good business can afford to grow and also throw off a rising torrent of cash annually for many decades. If you generate a high return on invested capital, you know that there are only so many opportunitities in the physical world to deploy at that high rate of return anyways. Hence, a quality company with a 20% return on capital can afford to reinvest half of profits to grow EPS at 10%/year, while a mediocre company with a return on capital of 8% would have to reinvest everything to potentially grow EPS at 8%/year.

That ROI provides a good yardstick, and focuses management's attention only on those high value projects. The rest is sent back to shareholders.

In other words, a consistent history of dividend increases is the end result of having a quality business that has grown the bottom line for a long time. 

If you look at the statistics of many of America's great businesses, you see rising earnings per share over time, which fuels rising dividends per share and rising share prices over time as well. The issue of course is that share prices tend to be more volatile than the dividends and earnings.

Now, there are many good businesses in the world. There are also many businesses in different stages of their lifecycle.

For example, a start-up is unlikely to be paying dividends. However, most start-ups are lottery tickets, because the likelihood they will survive is very very low. 

Companies in their decline/the end of their lifecycle also cannot pay dividends, because they are struggling for their survival.

The middle point, where a company is established and thrives is where you get to see dividend growth appear.

Most quality companies cannot reinvest everything they earn at a high rate of return. Hence why they send it back to shareholders in the form of dividends. Very few quality and established companies can afford to generate a high durable return on investment and reinvest everything in their business at a high rate of return. Warren Buffett has discussed this in his discussion of his ideal business



This was a rather long introduction. I wanted to provide some nuance about Dividend Growth Investing. In my opinion, it is a worthwhile strategy as there are a lot of quality businesses that are dividend growth companies. Studying the lists of dividend achievers, dividend champions, dividend aristocrats and dividend kings can help identify and select good quality investments to hold for the long run.

That being said, not every company that is a dividend growth stock is a good investment. 

There are various studies about Dividend Growth Investing, the most popular being the Ned David Research one. It shows that companies that grew or initiated a dividend have experienced the highest returns relative to other stocks since 1973.


This chart shows you that dividend growers & initiators had a better performance than dividend cutters & eliminators and dividend non-payers. They also seem to be showing that the equal weighted S&P500 index did worse than dividend growers and initiators. In addition, dividend growers had a low standard deviation.


This outperformance looks very convincing, when you look at it in a chart format.

So case closed, right? You are sold on Dividend Growth Investing.

The problem for me is that I want to trust this data, but I have to verify it.

I simply took a look at historical S&P 500 total returns data since 1973. Source: Adamodar

According to this data source, a $100 investment in S&P 500 index at the end of 1972, with dividends reinvested, would have turned to $20,639.81. 

This is a logaritm chart of those total returns off a $100 investment at the end of 1972:




This shows me that S&P 500 itself did better than the dividend growers and initiators. And the S&P 500 itself did much better than the S&P 500 in the Ned Davis Research Study.

Which to me raises more questions, rather than solves anything. 

Why is it that the performance of S&P 500 in Ned Davis Research so poor relative to the actual S&P 500. Perhaps it has something to do with the way they weight their portfolios. Perhaps it could be due to their data integrity. Again, these performance gaps raise questions about the Ned Davis Research Study and data. I do not believe we have an apples to apples comparison.

Also that being said, their equal weighted data on S&P 500 does not feel right. That's because from all the research papers I have ever read, equal weighted indices typically have tended to OUTPERFORM market weight indices. This is a second reason why I am questioning the data in Ned Davis Research Study on returns based on a dividend policy.

Perhaps, if they did a comparison based on a market cap weighted basis, it would be a better apples to apples comparison. That can clearly show investors how Dividend Growth companies have done per their dividend policy. 

But in reality, it would be really helpful to understand what methodology Ned Davis Research used on their studies of performance on companies per dividend policy. 

Perhaps this study is used as a marketing tool from mutual funds to sell you dividend growth funds. As investors however, we know that nobody else cares more about your money than you do. Hence why you need to trust, but verify. And while that Ned Davis Research Study does look convincing at first glance, it does not seem right, as it raises more questions than it answers.

The issues are that it uses a methodology that is not well explained.

The study's results do not link to the performance of S&P 500 index itself. Why are dividend growth stocks showing as outperforming, when in reality that index seems to have done worse than the actual returns of the S&P 500 index?

The study uses an odd performance for S&P 500 equal weighted index, which has done much worse than the actual performance of S&P 500. It looks as if they forgot to add dividends on the performance of their equal weight index. Which seems odd to me.

The conclusion for me is to learn to read reports and studies critically. They are mostly marketing materials, rather than anything else.

It's also important to keep learning, and gathering different data points in your toolbelt, so you can try to connect the dots and identify gaps.

Friday, July 4, 2025

Nine Dividend Achiever Banks Raising Dividends After Passing the Fed's Stress Tests

Several of the large banking institutions in the US passed the Stress Tests imposed by the Federal Reserve. As a result, they announced their intentions to raise dividends and boost buyback allocations.

I went through the list of increases from last week, and focused on the institutions that have a ten year track record of annual dividend increases:

I also added ten year charts showcasing the trends in share price, quarterly earnings and quarterly dividends.

In order to understand equity returns, you need to decompose them to their sources. 

Equity returns are a function of:

1. Dividend Yields

2. Earnings Per Share Growth

3. Change in valuation

In the long-run, the first two items (dividends and earnings per share) are the so called fundamental sources of returns. They drive the total return over periods longer than say a decade. The changes of valuation matter the least in the very long-run.

In the short-run however, for periods of five to ten years or less, valuation does matter a lot. This is why your returns would be much different if you bought a company at a starting yield of 4% versus a starting yield of 2%. That being said, rising earnings and dividends matter a lot too, because they provide the needed fuel behind great returns in the long-run. However, if you manage to acquire a good company at a discount, your potential returns will be higher.

Visualizing the interplay between dividend yields, earnings per share growth and the changes in valuation showcases where returns have come from perfectly well. It also provides the perspective to determine where we are today, and also to potentially provide some markers as to where a potential future buy point could be set at.

Bank of America (BAC) hiked its quarterly dividend by 8% to $0.28/share. This will be the 12th year of consecutive annual dividend increases for this dividend achiever. The company has managed to grow dividends at an annualized rate of 8.70% over the past five years. 

The company has managed to grow earnings from $1.38/share in 2015 to $3.25/share in 2024.

The company is expected to earn $3.63/share in 2025.

The stock sells for 13.46 times forward earnings and a dividend yield of 2.13%.



Bank of New York Mellon (BK) increased its quarterly dividend by 12% to $0.53/share. This will be the 15th consecutive increase in the annual dividend for this dividend achiever. The company has managed to grow dividends at an annualized rate of 8.60% over the past five years. 

The company has managed to grow earnings from $2.72/share in 2015 to $5.84/share in 2024.

The company is expected to earn $6.80/share in 2025.

The stock sells for 13.60 times forward earnings and a dividend yield of 2.03%.



Bank OZK (OZK) increased its quarterly dividend to $0.44/share. While this is a 2.30% raise over the dividend paid in the previous quarterly, it is also a 10% increase over the dividend paid during the same time last year. Bank OZK tends to raise dividends every quarter. This dividend aristocrat has regularly increased dividends since 1997.  It has managed to grow dividends at an annualized rate of 10.90% over the past five years.

The company has managed to grow earnings from $2.10/share in 2015 to $6.16/share in 2024.

The company is expected to earn $6.10/share in 2025.

The stock sells for 8.36 times forward earnings and a dividend yield of 3.45%.



Goldman Sachs (GS) increased its quarterly dividend by 33% to $4/share. This is the 14th year of consecutive annual dividend increases for this dividend achiever. It has managed to grow dividends at an annualized rate of 22.60% over the past five years. 

The company has managed to grow earnings from $12.35/share in 2015 to $41.07/share in 2024.

The company is expected to earn $44.70/share in 2025.

The stock sells for 16.20 times forward earnings and a dividend yield of 1.67%.



JPMorgan Chase (JPM) increased its quarterly dividend by 7% to $1.50/share. This is the 15th year of consecutive annual dividend increases over this dividend achiever. The company has managed to grow dividends at an annualized rate of 6.90% over the past five years.

The company has managed to grow earnings from $6.05/share in 2015 to $19.79/share in 2024.

The company is expected to earn $18.48/share in 2025.

The stock sells for 16 times forward earnings and a dividend yield of 1.89%.




Morgan Stanley (MS) boosted its quarterly dividend by 8% to $1/share. This is the 12th consecutive annual dividend increase for this dividend achiever. The company has managed to grow dividends at an annualized rate of 22.30% over the past five years.

The company has managed to grow earnings from $2.97/share in 2015 to $8.05/share in 2024.

The company is expected to earn $8.68/share in 2025.

The stock sells for 16.60 times forward earnings and a dividend yield of 2.57%.




PNC Financial (PNC) raised its quarterly dividends by 6.30% to $1.70/share. This is the 15th year of consecutive annual dividend increases over this dividend achiever. The company has managed to grow dividends at an annualized rate of 8.40% over the past five years.

The company has managed to grow earnings from $7.52/share in 2015 to $13.77/share in 2024.

The company is expected to earn $15.13/share in 2025.

The stock sells for 13 times forward earnings and a dividend yield of 3.26%.



State Strett (STT) raised its quarterly dividend by 11% to $0.84/share. This is the 15th year of consecutive annual dividend increases over this dividend achiever. The company has managed to grow dividends at an annualized rate of 8% over the past five years.

The company has managed to grow earnings from $4.53/share in 2015 to $8.34/share in 2024.

The company is expected to earn $9.58/share in 2025.

The stock sells for 11.50 times forward earnings and a dividend yield of 2.76%.



U.S. Bancorp (USB) raised its quarterly dividend by 4% to $0.52/share. This is the 15th year of consecutive annual dividend increases over this dividend achiever. The company has managed to grow dividends at an annualized rate of 5.20% over the past five years.

The company has managed to grow earnings from $3.18/share in 2015 to $3.79/share in 2024.

The company is expected to earn $4.04/share in 2025.

The stock sells for 11.76 times forward earnings and a dividend yield of 4.17%.



Relevant Articles:

- Three Dividend Growth Companies Raising Dividends Last Week







Monday, June 30, 2025

Three Dividend Growth Companies Raising Dividends Last Week

I review the list of dividend increases every week, as part of my monitoring process.

It's one of my processes to monitor existing holdings and potentially uncover companies for further research. 

This exercise helps me stay sharp and keep the pulse of the Dividend Growth Investing Universe. 

This exercise also showcases the inputs I use to quickly decide if I want to study a company further or not. In general, I look for companies that can grow dividends at a decent clip, fueled by growth in earnings per share. I want to acquire such a company at a good entry price. I also want a company that can keep growing those dividends in the future, as the durable business model produces higher earnings. 

You can see I have humble needs from life.

For this review, I focused on the companies that raised dividends last week, which also have a ten year minimum streak of consecutive annual dividend increases under their belts. The companies include:


The Kroger Co. (KR) operates as a food and drug retailer in the United States.

Kroger raised quarterly dividends by 9.40% to $0.35/share. This marks the 19th consecutive year of dividend increases for this dividend achiever. During the past decade, the company managed to grow dividends at an annualized rate of 13.52%.

Between 2015 and 2024, the company managed to grow earnings from $2.09/share to $3.7/share.

The company is expected to earn $4.77/share in 2025.

The stock sells for 14.94 times forward earnings and yields 1.80%.


Matson, Inc. (MATX) engages in the provision of ocean transportation and logistics services. It operates through two segments, Ocean Transportation and Logistics. 

The company raised quarterly dividends by 5.90% to $0.36/share. This is the 13th consecutive annual dividend increase for this dividend achiever. During the past decade, the company managed to grow dividends at an annualized rate of 7.18%.

Between 2015 and 2024, Matson managed to grow earnings from $2.37/share to $14.14/share. There were some record earnings per share in 2021 and 2022 of $21.67/share and $27.28/share respectively however. That Covid boom really messed the business cycle for a lot of companies, by pulling a lot of demand into a few short years, followed by a lower demand thereafter.

The company is expected to earn $10.49/share in 2025.

The stock sells for 10.35 times forward earnings and yields 1.25%.


Worthington Enterprises, Inc. (WOR) operates as an industrial manufacturing company. It operates through two segments, Consumer Products and Building Products. 

The company raised quarterly dividends by 11.80% to $0.19/share. This is the 15th year of consecutive annual dividend increases for this dividend achiever. During the past decade, the company managed to grow dividends at an annualized rate of 4.36%.

Between 2016 and 2025, the company's earnings per share went from $2.30 to $1.94.

The company is expected to earn $3.53/share in 2025.

The stock sells for 17.90 times forward earnings and yields 1.08%.


Relevant Articles:

- Four Dividend Growth Companies Increasing Dividends Last Week





Sunday, June 29, 2025

Warren Buffett's Net Worth and Charity

Warren Buffett is the best investor in the world. I've dedicated a ton of time studying him and writing about him on this humble site.

He recently made the news again, after writing that he's contributed roughly $6 Billion in Berkshire Hathaway stock to several charitities.Those include The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Susan Thompson Buffett Foundation and the Sherwood, Howard G Buffett and NoVo Foundations. He has continued his philantropic donations for 19 years now.

The fascinating part is Warren Buffett owned 474,998 A shares of Berkshire Hathaway in 2006, before he started donating to charity.

If he hadn't donated anything, he would have been worth $347 billion and be the second richest person on earth

Today he owns 198,117 A shares, worth only $145 billion.


This is from the press release:

“The mathematics of the lifetime commitments to the five foundations are interesting. The schedule for annual grants was made on June 26, 2006, and has since been supplemented by significant grants to four of the five recipients. When originally made, I owned 474,998 Berkshire A shares worth about $43 billion and those shares represented more than 98% of my net worth. I have converted A shares into B shares before making contributions. During the following 19 years, I have neither bought nor sold any A or B shares nor do I intend to do so. The five foundations have received Berkshire B shares that had a value when received of about $60 billion, substantially more than my entire net worth in 2006. I have no debts and my remaining A shares are worth about $145 billion, well over 99% of my net worth. Nothing extraordinary has occurred at Berkshire; a very long runway, simple and generally sound decisions, the American tailwind and compounding effects produced my current wealth. My will provides that about 99½% of my estate is destined for philanthropic usage. The lifetime commitments expire upon my death or at an earlier time if certain conditions set forth in the 2006 letter occur. All of these conditions continue to be met. My November 21, 2023 release set forth procedures of my will that are unlikely to be changed before my death. My then-current will becomes public upon my death.”

Wednesday, June 25, 2025

No one cares more about your money than you do

 The best decision I ever made was to invest in my own financial education. Everything I have done is easily achieved by anyone else with a DIY mentality.

This means reading as much as possible, trying to learn from various sources, and connect the dots into a full blown financial plan.

This plan takes care of:

1. Income/Expense monitoring and improvement

2. Savings/Investments

3. Keeping costs low

4. Tax/Estate Planning

5. Continuous Improvement

After many years of managing my own finances, it's all second nature by now. Once things are set-up, it's mostly smooth sailing from there. 

Mistakes can and will happen, but that's how one learns. If you start your journey right away when you have some modest initial amounts of capital at stake, those mistakes are going to be small. I believe it is better to miss out on tens of dollars of missed tax savings and optimization in the early days (mistake I made) versus potentially falling for an expensive mutual fund, private REIT or an annuity in the latter days (mistake many of my peers have made)

The best part of it is that knowledge accumulates, like compound interest. That knowledge is scalable as well.

If you know how to manage $1,000, you know how to manage $10k, $100k, $1 Million etc... Once you set up those basic processes, you can expand from there and grow

It's also very helpful to be involved in all aspects of the process myself, because I can see how one decision somewhere can make a huge impact today and down the road.

E.g. Contributing to a pre-tax 401 (k) today saves on taxes today, allows for tax-deferred compounding, and I could come out ahead if the tax rate at withdrawal/Roth Conversion is lower than the tax rate I save today. 

In another example, seeing how for each say $1,000 I invest, I generate $20 - $40 in annual dividend income that keeps growing over time through dividend increases and dividend reinvestment. Most of it is taxfree due to smart planning.

I never used a financial advisor, but rather relied on myself and my education. There are plenty of resources online. The important thing is to have the desire to improve your situation. 

Using a professional can be helpful, but you also need to have the knowledge to evaluate this professional, and making sure they are qualified, and competent.

If you do not know what you are looking for, someone may take advantage of you. It could be costly down the road.

Why did I never use a financial advisor?

Well, when I was just starting out, nobody cared for someone with a few thousand dollars. I was also skeptical of anyone that was trying to sell me solutions that could bring them commissions, but not really incentivize my financial well being. 

I saved on a ton of fees over the past 20 years as well. And would likely save even more over the next several decades as well. Those fees compound too...

I do not believe I need a financial advisor today either, as I can manage estate on my own. I have found it very difficult to find a good adviser as well. 

Identifying a good adviser is as hard as identifying the next Google. Plus, you need to evaluate not only how good they are, but you also need to evaluate how long would they be in business for. You do not want to be nickel and dimed in fees either and sold high commission products. (e.g annuities, high fee mutual funds)

I believe most individuals do not need a financial advisor, but can easily manage their net worth on their own. Thus saving in fees.

Most finances are not that complicated. 

They only need to have the desire to learn, and the desire to keep learning and improving over time. 

I personally love learning, and seeing how others do it. I try to get best practices out of it. 

I am an extreme case, but I do not believe financial education is really that complicated. Once you get the basics right, it can all beset-up to be done on autopilot. Getting it right can also be done after reading a book or two or a few on personal finance and investments. 

You just have to have the desire to get your financial house in order. Otherwise, you have to pay someone to do it for you.

An investment in knowledge pays the highest dividends.

Saturday, June 21, 2025

Three Dividend Growth Companies Raising Dividends Last Week

I review the list of dividend increases every week, as part of my monitoring process. 

I typically focus my attention to companies that have managed to grow dividends for at least ten years in a row. 

Over the past week, there were three companies that managed to raise dividends to shareholders. Each of these companies have managed to raise annual dividends for at least ten years in a row. 

The companies include:


First Farmers Financial Corporation (FFMR) operates as the financial holding company for First Farmers Bank & Trust that provides banking products and services to individuals, families, and businesses.

The company raised quarterly dividends by 2% to $0.50/share. The company managed to grow dividends at an annualized rate of 13.33% over the past decade. This is the 36th consecutive annual dividend increase for this dividend champion.

The company managed to grow earnings from $2.35/share in 2015 to $5.04/share in 2024.

The stock sells for 13.30 times earnings and yields 3%.


Investar Holding Corporation (ISTR) operates as the bank holding company for Investar Bank that provides a range of commercial banking products to individuals, professionals, and small to medium-sized businesses in south Louisiana, southeast Texas, and Alabama in the United States.

The company raised quarterly dividends by 4.80% to $0.11/share. This is the 12th consecutive annual dividend increase for this dividend achiever. The company managed to grow dividends at an annualized rate of 12.04% over the past 5 years. 

The company managed to grow earnings from $0.98/share in 2015 to $2.06/share in 2024.

The stock sells for 9.13 times forward earnings and yields 2.27%.


PSB Holdings, Inc. (PSBQ) operates as a bank holding company for Peoples State Bank that provides a range of retail consumer and commercial banking products and services to individuals and businesses in the United States.

The company raised semi-annual dividends by 6.30% to $0.34/share. This is the 32nd consecutive ywar of increased dividends per share for this dividend champion. The company managed to grow dividends at an annualized rate of 9.15% over the past decade.

The company managed to grow earnings from $1.61/share in 2015 to $2.37/share in 2024.

The stock sells for 9.26 times earnings and yields 2.68%.


Relevant Articles:

- Four Dividend Growth Companies Increasing Dividends Last Week




Wednesday, June 18, 2025

Most great investors are frugal

I am a big fan of frugality. I believe that frugality is all about the most efficient use of scarce resources. This could mean thinking outside the box in how to be resourceful and get more out of less, without sacrificing quality.

Frugality to me is very well connected with the concept of intelligent investing. In intelligent investing, you are getting a future stream of future cashflows at a bargain price today. This simple concept has made a lot of people very rich. 

You want to avoid overpaying for things. This thought process is applicable whether we are talking about socks or stocks.

I recently stumbled upon a passage from the 2024 Markel Annual report, about the concept of frugality and super-investors. 

Frugality

My friend and accomplished investor, Shelby Davis, once told me about a study of great investors. It sought to identify the principles, qualities, educational backgrounds, training, demographics, or other characteristics linked to future investment performance. The study only found one common characteristic among great investors: they were all frugal. 

We agree. 

That’s why we manage your capital at extraordinarily low costs. The returns we earn flow through to the company's value with minimal friction, which also compounds. Another unheralded, but incredibly important, component of our resilience is the frugality of our tax efficiency. The ability to select securities and hold businesses over long periods defers tax liabilities and compounds your company's value.


Now that I think about it, I could think of several prominent super-investors and business people who are frugal.

The first one is no other but Warren Buffett. He still lives in the same house that he bought in 1958 for $31,500, despite the fact that he is worth north of $100 Billion, and has been one of the world's richest people for over three decades. 

He focuses on what gives him value, and doesn't really focus on ostentatious consumption. 

He doesn't need to buy Gucci bags, or expensive sports cars to appear rich to others. He doesn't care what others think of his wealth. He enjoys it the way he wants, which is what matters to him. He cares about his inner scorecard, and donating as much as possible to charitable causes. 

Buffett also has simple tastes when it comes to food, clothing and cars. He drives a Cadillac that was bought at a discount because it was slightly dented. Big deal, it still took him from point A to point B.

He does care about the most efficient use of resources at Berkshire Hathaway and his life. When he invests money, he makes sure that he can attain a certain annualized rate of return. He asks his businesses to reinvest everything that could be reinvested at this minimum rate of return, and to send back as dividends anything that they cannot reinvest at a good rate of return. He can then reinvest it.

He is also very careful about how he spends his time. He focuses on talking to people he admires, who are in his circle. He also spends time reading and learning, while spending as little time as possible on useless endeavours.

This frugality is all about intelligent and optimal use of the limited resources we have in this world. It is a mindset that drives your entire being. This mindset has helped Buffett be rational in an otherwise irrational world, and take bets that have paid off hugely. He has been able to structure deals and tax scenarios in a creative way so as to reduce tax drag for example. It's all about understanding trade-offs, opportunity costs and decisions that lead to the most optimal outcome all else being equal.

For example, he has sold companies where he didn't believe in the prospects anymore, and paid tax because the forward returns were not as exciting. But he would hold on to other investments while the increase their profits and capital gains, therefore failing to recognize capital gains. His deal to sell Procter & Gamble stock for Duracell business, helped Berkshire defer recognition of capital gains taxes. That's a good example of frugality helping you in deferring taxes. Deferring tax liabilities compounds your value over the long term.

He does understand the power of compounding, which is a magnificent force. The young Buffett often presented compound annual growth tables to his partners, calling them "The Joys of Compounding". The young Buffett understood that each dollar he spent in his early 20s is equivalent to $100 or more by his 70s, assuming a 10% annualized rate of return. In reality, he has outperformed this, but he has been very careful with that. He understands the risk of ruin, and wants to avoid losing money because each dollar today has a very high future value. An example of this thought is his business venture in the 1950s, where he bought a Sinclair gas station. He did lose 20% of his net worth on this venture, which didn't pan out. He does calculate the opportunity cost miss in the tens of billions of dollars on it.

Buffett has done well because he always focused on the best opportunities for his money. His frugality helped him buy great investments at a bargain price, and then patiently compound his fortune for decades. He never cut corners however, which is expensive in the long run. He also always treated his partners and investors ethically and honestly.  He treats his employees fairly as well. For example, his salary at Berkshire Hathaway has been $100,000/year for at least three decades per Berkshire's filings with the SEC. This is a bargain price for one of the world's best capital allocators. He does like to spend time with like-minded individuals he could learn from and whose company he enjoyes. All of this is a great use of time, as that knowledge and relationship builds like compound interest.

But one of my favorite examples of efficient use of resources is the float that Berkshire Hathaway generates from  insurance operations. Float is money received in insurance premiums from customers. Over time, the amount received in premiums is slightly higher than amount the payouts given to customers. That float is stable, and in effect a low cost pool of money that Berkshire could invest at a good rate of return. This in effect provides some leverage to Berkshire that further turbocharges returns. On the other hand one could argue that the deferred capital gains taxes on long-term holdings like Coca-Cola are another type of float, that compounding quietly for Berkshire.

Many rich people understand the compounding aspect and future value, which helps them define and understand opportunity cost. It prevents them from making unnecessary and frivolous outflows of money.

For example, the Shelby Davis that was quotes above managed to turn $50,000 investment in 1947 into a fortunre worth close to $900 Million by the time of his death in 1994. 

He did that through investment in insurance companies that were very cheap at the time. Many had single digit P/E ratios and had high dividend yields. Insurers grew their earnings at a rapid pace. In 1950, insurance companies sold for 4x earnings; 10 years later, they sold for 15x to 20x earnings and their earnings had quadrupled. He refused to overpay for stocks.

He took loans to further magnify his buying power, whose interest rates were much lower than the generous dividends they paid (which grew too). That's an example of understanding the current environment, and taking risks where the benefits outweighted the risks. While I am not a fan of using leverage, if you know what you are doing, it could magnify returns.

Since he had a seat on the New York Stock Exchange, he had access to lower margin rates and could buy more shares on margin because the regulator – the SEC, gave firms more leeway to borrow money than it gave individuals. He utilized the maximum allowable amount of margin (slightly over 50%). The interest payments on his margin were tax deductible (another savings). He did not leverage himself by 5x or 10x. He used a sensible amount of leverage that did not drastically increase his risk, yet significantly increased his returns.

But he didn't really trade in and out of stocks. He bought, and then held for many years, if not decades.

There's a fascinating anecdote about Shelby Davis, written by his grandson Christopher:

Christopher recalls working summers as a teenager at the elder Davis' insurance brokerage firm. The pair were coming back from a meeting of the New York Society of Insurance Analysts, and it was lunchtime. He had forgotten his wallet and asked his grandfather for a dollar to buy a hot dog from a street vendor. The elder Davis replied, "Do you realize that if you took that dollar and invested it at 15%, when you're my age that dollar would be worth $1,000?"

"I learned three lessons from that," says Christopher Davis. "The power of compound interest, the importance of not overpaying and not to forget my wallet."


That's a great summary of opportunity costs and trade-offs in one anecdote really. 

Another example is Jack Bogle, the man who saved investors billions of dollars in fees, as he popularized low cost mutual funds for the masses. He correctly saw that most of Wall Street adds zero value. However, it does cost ordinary investors a lot in fees each year. Those fees also tend to compound too, working against the balances of ordinary investors. The higher the fees, the less money ordinary investors have working for them. The lower the fees, the more money ordinary investors have working for them. Fees matter.

My other example is Sam Walton, the founder of Wal Mart stores. His frugality was on display in the mid 1980s, when he was spotted driving an ordinary Ford truck. This was not a vehicle that a billionaire was supposed to be driving. But Sam Walton didn't care. All he needed was a truck to have his dogs in, not a Rolls Royce.

This mindset helped him use resources efficiently on a scale, to eventually overcome other more powerful retail adversaries. For example, he managed to focus on fast selling items at his stores to the point where he would receive the cash for the items from customers, before the invoice to his supplier was due. This in effect created float for him, that could help further expand operations.

My last example is Ingvar Kamprad, thee founder of Ikea. He was worth $60 billion at the time of his death in 2018. I read an article about him, which discussed some of his frugal habits. For example, he drove a 1993 Volvo for about two decades. He flew coach, and purchased clother from flea markets. My favorite one was that he got his haircut when he traveled to cheaper countries. It makes sense that a haircut will cost more in Amsterdam than say Vietnam.

This may sound weird to the ordinary person out there. To me it shows a person who understand the value of each kroner (the Swedish currency). If you are careful with one kroner, you would be careful with billions of kroner. His frugality mindset had him go in overdrive in his effort to cut taxes on his company, and also to obtain tax residency that was the most advantageous to him. This saved tens of billions in income and estate taxes over his lifetime. Definitely a great example of how taking care of the little money you have at the beginning gives you the training to be able to take care of the money that comes later with compounding...

Unfortunately, most individuals today do not think this way. To the average person out there, being a millionaire translates to spending a million dollars. This is the opposite of having a million dollars.

Instead, that million dollars (or more) is a tool to help you live life on your own terms, aka own your freedom. Money gives options in life, which can help you design the life to your values.

The point is that those small trade-offs and opportunity costs compound over time. Over time as well, those frugal trade-offs become second nature as well.

The proverbial "latte factor" is a great example of this tendency of intelligent frugality. 

A $5 spent on coffee does not seem like a big amount on it's own. However, if you do this every day, over the course of an year, that translates to $1,830. If you do this over the course of a lifetime, and if you add in a reasonable return of 7%/year, that little habit could turn to hundreds of thousands of dollars over a 40 year time span.

It's $365,332.25 to be exact, but who's counting?

That doesn't mean not to enjoy your coffee, if it is really THAT IMPORTANT to you.

It is more of an example of a mindset that weighs each decision carefully, thinking through trade-offs, and understanding the opportunity cost of that decision. 

If you do that over a lifetime, the end results will follow.

That mindset of efficient use of resources that is trained on a small decision, is easily usable with large decisions as well.

A few questions that have been helpful for me are listed below:

Should I buy the largest house just because I was approved for the largest mortgage, or should I perhaps buy a more economical house that fits my needs? Or perhaps, should I rent for a few more years at a place with a lower cost of living? (remore jobs can help tremendously there, especially with geographic arbitrage of working remotely in a HCOL JOB but living in a LCOL area)

Should I buy an expensive shiny new car right after college or should I use a more economical car that does the same job?

Should I go to a college that I could afford with working or should I take high loans at an expensive college?

What steps can I make to minimize tax drag and commissions/fees on my investments? What investment strategy would provide the best outcomes for me in the long run?

Should I invest in a quality company at 50 times forward earnings and a dividend yield of 0.50% or should I invest in a quality company at 20 times forward earnings and a dividend yield of 2%?


All of this makes perfect sense to me.

It doesn't matter how much money I earn, but how much I get to keep, and how much I end up having compounding for me. 

There are lessons in personal finance, and getting the first dollar to work for me, while keeping as much as I can working for me. There are also lessons in finding the right stewards for my capital. These frugal type individuals build wealth. If you can identify such an individual early on, you can theoretically do well. Provided you hang on for the ride of course.

Frugality helps build wealth. It then helps compound and keep it.

Most great investors are frugal indeed.

Monday, June 16, 2025

Seven Dividend Growth Companies Raising Dividends Last Week

I review the list of dividend increases each week, as part of my monitoring process. I follow this process in order to monitor existing investments and to potentially identify companies for further research. I focus on quality companies with consistent cashflows, which can be purchased at attractive valuations, which I can then buy and hold forever. These are the types of long-term investments that can deliver rising dividends for decades, while also delivering dependable returns in the process.

This exercise also shows the data points I use in my quick evaluation of a company. This helps me determine if I want to proceed in analyzing a company for potential investment or not. Typically, a promising fundamental development, such as increasing earnings, a sustainable payout ratio and a track record of consistent dividend increases would place a company on my list for further research. I review the growth in earnings and dividends over the past decade, in order to evaluate the likelihood of them continuing their steady march upwards. I also look at valuation together with fundamental performance. 

If a company is attractively valued, that's definitely great and increases the chances of it becoming a part of my portfolio, if my analysis doesn't raise any red flags. Even if the company seems overvalued today, I would still review it, in order to be ready to act if it ever becomes cheaper.

Over the past week, there were seven companies that have managed to increase dividends for at least a decade, AND also increased dividends last week. The companies include: 


Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY) operates convenience stores under the Casey's and Casey’s General Store names. Its stores offer pizza, donuts, breakfast items, and sandwiches; and tobacco and nicotine products. 

The company increased quarterly dividends by 14% to $0.57/share. This is the 26th consecutive annual dividend increase for this dividend champion. Over the past decade the company has managed to increase dividends at an annualized rate of 9.60%.

The company managed to grow earnings from $5.79/share in 2016 to $14.72/share in 2025.

The company is expected to earn $15.93/share in 2026.

The stock sells for 31.80 times forward earnings and yields 0.40%.


Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) manufactures and sells construction and mining equipment, off-highway diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives in the United States and internationally.

The company raised quarterly dividend by 7.10% to $1.51/share. This is the 31st consecutive annual dividend increase for this dividend aristocrat. Over the past decade, the company has managed to increase dividends at an annualized rate of 7.25%. 

Between 2015 and 2024, the company managed to grow earnings from $4.23/share to $22.17/share.

The company is expected to earn $18.70/share in 2025.

The stock sells for 19.30 times forward earnings and yields 1.56%.



HEICO Corporation (HEI) designs, manufactures, and sells aerospace, defense, and electronic related products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments Flight Support Group (FSG) and Electronic Technologies Group (ETG).

The company raised its semi-annual dividend by 9.10% to $0.12/share. This is the 18th consecutive annual dividend increase for this dividend achiever. Over the past decade, the company has managed to grow dividends at an annualized rate of 13.10%.

Between 2015 and 2024, the company managed to grow earnings from $1.02/share to $3.71/share.

The company is expected to earn $4.58/share in 2025.

The stock sells for 66.40 times forward earnings and yields 0.08%


National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) operates as a diversified energy company. It operates through four segments: Exploration and Production, Pipeline and Storage, Gathering, and Utility.

The company raised quarterly dividends by 3.90% to $0.535/share. This dividend king has increased its annual dividend for 55 straight years. During the past decade the company has managed to increase dividends at an annualized rate of 2.95%.

Between 2015 and 2024 the company managed to grow earnings from a loss of $4.50 to a profit of $0.84/share. 

The company is expected to earn $6.90/share in 2025. It's trend in earnings per share is not very consistent, but a little volatile.

The stock sells for 12.19 times forward earnings and yields 2.45%.


Target Corporation (TGT) operates as a general merchandise retailer in the United States.

The company raised quarterly dividends by 1.80% to $1.14/share. This is the 54th consecutive year of annual dividend increases for this dividend king. Over the past decade it has managed to grow dividends at an annualized rate of 7.97%. 

Between 2015 and 2024, the company has managed to grow earnings from $5.36/share to $8.89/share.

The company is expected to earn $7.36/share in 2025.

The stock sells for 13.50 times forward earnings and yields 4.51%.


Realty Income (O) is a Real Estate Investment Trust which invests in triple-net properties in the US and Europe.

The REIT raised its monthly dividends to $0.2690/share. This is a 2.28% increase over the dividend paid during the same time last year. Realty Income is a dividend aristocrat which has increased dividends every single years since its IPO in 1994. Over the past decade, Realty Income has managed to grow dividends at an annualized rate of 3.96%.

The company managed to grow FFO from $2.77/share in 2015 to $4.01/share in 2024.

Realty Income is expected to generate $4.26/share in FFO in 2025.

The REIT sells for 13.60 times forward FFO and yields 5.50%.


W. R. Berkley Corporation (WRB), an insurance holding company, operates as a commercial line writer worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Insurance, and Reinsurance & Monoline Excess. 

The company raised quarterly dividends by 12.50% to $0.09/share. This is the 24st consecutive annual dividend increase for this dividend achiever. Over the past decade, the company managed to grow dividends at an annualized rate of 9.39%.

Between 2015 and 2024 the company managed to grow earnings from $1.20/share to $4.39/share.

The company is expected to generate $4.31/share in 2025.

The stock sells for 17.11 times forward earnings and yields 1.45%.